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The latest outlook on El Niño—the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (aka “ENSO”) climate pattern—gives a greater than 95% chance that it will continue through the winter. At this event's peak this winter, there is approximately a 2 in 3 chance that the Oceanic Niño Index will match or exceed 1.5 °C, the informal threshold for a “strong” El Niño event. Learn more about the forecast and what El Niño could mean for global temperatures at the ENSO Blog. https://www.climate.gov/news-feat
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