Sporting CP and Borussia Dortmund meet at Estadio Jose Alvalade on Tuesday with the hosts winless in the UEFA Champions League since Ruben Amorim left. Rui Borges is now in charge and will attempt to navigate the knockout round playoffs against the German visitors who have just appointed Niko Kovac.

As reported by Sky Germany, an Opta Computer has given Borussia Dortmund a 5.1% chance of qualifying for the Champions League next year by finishing 4th. The computer calculates the probabilities

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Supercomputer and reliable sports data company Opta believe there is a mere 5.1% chance of BVB qualifying for Europe’s premier competition which requires achieving a 4th-place finish come the end of 2024-25 campaign.

Dortmund, who reached last year's Champions League final, slipped to 11th in the Bundesliga on Saturday after a defeat to Stuttgart in Nico Kovac's first game in charge

With five wins and three losses on their record from the league phase, Dortmund pipped 2023-24 final foes Real Madrid to a top-10 finish in the league phase, although it was the top eight positions that last season's beaten finalists had their sights set on.

Last season's finalists Borussia Dortmund will have to win a play-off to reach the Champions League last-16 stage despite beating Shakhtar Donetsk.