Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted ...
Vice President Kamala Harris inched ahead of former President Donald Trump by the narrowest of margins in both polling guru Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight’s final presidential forecasts ...
Nate Cohn made the case for how polls could be wrong in favor of Harris' opponent, former President Donald Trump.
On Thursday morning, Trump's probability of winning was 63% or higher on Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, and two major ...
they are not the people who actually will elect the next president and vice president. A mere 538 Americans get to make that choice. They are the members of the Electoral College. And they ...
Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President ... To that point, the most critical swing states are all on a knife’s edge in the polls: Based on our latest state ...
President Joe Biden flipped six of the seven ... according to the same poll. FiveThirtyEight also considers North Carolina a "toss-up" as of Wednesday, with Trump given a 53 percent chance of ...
Follow 538 and ABC News for live updates on the presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, and key races ...